INTRODUCTION
Tuberculosis (TB), one of the leading causes of death worldwide, had an estimated incidence of 10.6 million and a mortality rate of 1.4 million in individuals without human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in 2021 [
1]. Diabetes mellitus (DM) is more prevalent in patients with TB than in the general population and has a detrimental effect on the prognosis of patients with TB. The prevalence of DM is increasing as lifestyle and dietary changes occur in low- and middle-income countries with a high TB prevalence. Thus, the prevalence of DM in patients with TB may also continuously increase [
2].
Patients with TB and DM (TB–DM) have higher risks of treatment failure, mortality, and recurrence than do those with only TB [
3,
4]. Regarding mortality, Baker et al. [
3] found that patients with TB–DM had a 1.89-times (risk ratio 1.89, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.52–2.36) higher risk of death than did those with only TB. Other studies reported a 6.5-times higher risk of death (odds ratio 6.5, 95% CI 1.1–38.0) in patients with TB–DM than in those with only TB after covariate adjustment [
4].
Host-directed therapy (HDT) has recently been suggested to mitigate the poor treatment outcomes of TB [
5,
6]. Specifically, metformin, a drug commonly prescribed to patients with DM, is one of the promising candidates as a potential adjunctive agent for TB [
7]. It reduces the blood glucose level by inhibiting hepatic gluconeogenesis, decreasing glucose transport from the intestinal lumen into the blood [
8], enhancing glucose utilization [
9], and reducing the intracellular growth of
Mycobacterium tuberculosis by enhancing autophagy [
7,
10]. Metformin use in people with type 2 DM has shown a protective effect against the development of active TB [
11,
12], and a favorable treatment outcome could be expected among patients with TB–DM treated with metformin [
5,
6,
13]. Nevertheless, few studies have directly examined the effect of metformin use on mortality in patients with TB–DM [
7,
13], and clinical evidence for metformin as an HDT is limited.
Therefore, in this study, we aimed to investigate the effect of metformin use on mortality in patients with TB–DM co-prevalence using a nationwide cohort to obtain advanced clinical evidence for the positive effects of metformin.
DISCUSSION
By analyzing a nationwide integrated TB cohort, we found that metformin had a favorable effect on all-cause mortality during the TB treatment of patients with TB–DM.
DM is known to be a poor prognostic factor for the treatment outcome of TB. As previously reported, in patients with combined TB–DM, the all-cause mortality rate increased by 2.18–6.5 times [
4,
17]. TB recurrence after the completion of TB treatment increases by 3.89 times [
3] in the presence of DM. Therefore, the Collaborative Framework for Care and Control of Tuberculosis and Diabetes recommends appropriate glucose control as one of the treatments for TB [
18].
Metformin is used as a first-line treatment for patients with DM [
19] and it has been investigated for its possible positive effects in patients with TB–DM. Previous studies have shown its ability to lower TB risk in people with DM. Among patients with DM, the risk of TB development in metformin users was reduced by 32–61%, as revealed in a meta-analysis [
12]. In terms of the dose-dependent effect of metformin, Pan et al. reported a dose-response relationship between metformin use and TB risk reduction [
11]. However, data on the effect of metformin on mortality during TB treatment in patients with DM are lacking. Degner et al. [
13] reported a reduced mortality rate in patients with TB–DM who use metformin (aHR 0.56, 95% CI 0.39–0.82), and similar mortality rates between patients without DM and patients with DM when metformin was used during TB treatment. This suggests that the use of metformin could offset an increase in mortality due to DM in patients with TB. Similarly, in our study, among patients with DM, metformin use reduced the risk of all-cause mortality during TB treatment, even after adjusting for potential confounders, including age, gender, household income, AFB smear positivity, the presence of various comorbidities, and use of other anti-diabetic drugs. This result was consistent with that before PS matching and after subgroup analysis by gender.
We cannot fully explain how metformin showed favorable effects on all-cause mortality in patients with TB–DM in this study. Some researchers have suggested the following possible explanations. First, metformin may have anti-mycobacterial capacity in patients with TB–DM. The primary target of metformin, mitochondrial respiratory chain complex I, is structurally similar to bacterial respiratory chain complex-I (NDH-I). As metformin inhibits mitochondrial respiratory chain complex I, it can have a similar effect on NDH-I [
20]. Therefore, a bactericidal effect on
M. tuberculosis may be possible if bacterial NDH-I is suppressed by metformin. In addition, metformin activates the adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase pathway, which eventually promotes phagosome–lysosome fusion and plays a crucial role in controlling the intracellular growth of
M. tuberculosis [
7]. Metformin can also downregulate the expression of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs), which play a role in lung parenchymal destruction in patients with TB [
21,
22]. TB-induced inflammatory tissue damage is responsible for morbidity and mortality [
23]. Thus, inhibition of the effect of critical MMPs on a TB-infected lung could be a possible mechanism underlying the positive impact of metformin on mortality in patients with TB–DM.
Previous studies did not differentiate between TB-related deaths and non-TB-related deaths when evaluating the impact of metformin [
7,
13]. However, we conducted separate analyses for these groups in this study. As shown in
Figure 3, metformin use did not have a significant impact on the mortality rate in terms of TB-related deaths, whereas it did have a significant effect in terms of non-TB-related deaths, similar to the findings in the overall population. The retrospective nature of this study presents challenges in comparing the DM control status between metformin users and non-users. Consequently, it remains uncertain whether the diverse effects of metformin, contingent on the cause of death, are primarily linked to DM regulation or result from metformin’s broader physiological impacts. Hence, the necessity for future prospective investigations on this matter is evident.
Our study has several strengths. First, this was a large, national data-based cohort study investigating the impact of metformin use on all-cause mortality during TB treatment in patients with TB–DM. This cohort included all patients with TB who were registered and followed up for an appropriate amount of time. Second, we analyzed and adjusted for relevant covariates, including socioeconomic status and the presence of multiple co-morbidities, which are crucial contributing factors to the mortality of patients with TB–DM, by integrating three different national datasets. In addition, we performed a sensitivity analysis including PS matching, and it showed the positive effect of metformin on mortality in patients with TB–DM, which was consistent in various sets of analyses.
Despite these strengths, this study has some limitations. We could not access some information because the data used were from a retrospective cohort. First, we included patients with stage III chronic kidney disease (CKD) because we could not distinguish stage IIIa and stage IIIb CKD from our integrated dataset, which lacked information on CKD stage. Second, we could not fully account for potential confounding factors such as DM-related factors in PS matching and different characteristics between metformin users and non-users even after matching. To overcome this problem, we performed additional regression analyses after matching, including DM medications, CCI score, and multiple other prognostic variables [
16,
24]. Third, the data used in the analysis were based on the KNTSS, which is secondary data. There might be errors in the reporting of the treatment outcomes and missing data from each institution. However, the KNTSS is the most reliable national TB registry managed by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. Finally, we were unable to account for potential confounding factors, including glucose control status (e.g., HbA1c), smoking, drinking, and body mass index, which have a significant influence on DM- and TB-related deaths [
25,
26]. Considering HbA1c might have also impacted our findings because poorly controlled DM can influence poor outcomes of TB and mortality [
27,
28]. Therefore, further research is warranted.
In summary, our study demonstrated that the mortality rate during TB treatment was 8.8%, and this rate was lower in the metformin user group than in the non-user group. After adjusting for multiple covariates in the PS-matched cohort, metformin use was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality during TB treatment, suggesting its potentially protective role as an HDT in patients with TB–DM.