INTRODUCTION
Fecal occult blood test (FOBT) can detect a large proportion of colorectal cancers (CRCs) that occur in asymptomatic populations [
1]. Randomized controlled trials have demonstrated that FOBT screening reduces CRC incidence and mortality, and accordingly, FOBT has been widely used for CRC screening worldwide [
1–
4]. Unlike direct examination of fecal hemoglobin (f-Hb), conventional guaiac FOBT (gFOBT) indirectly detects blood in human stool based on colorimetric detection of peroxidase activity; therefore, the test results can be influenced by foods with non-hemoglobin peroxidase activity [
1]. In contrast to traditional gFOBT, the fecal immunochemistry test (FIT) directly assesses f-Hb using monoclonal or polyclonal antibodies directed against the globin moiety of human hemoglobin [
1]. Given these features, it is not surprising that FIT is considered superior to gFOBT in detecting CRC. Compared to gFOBT, FIT is 31.7% to 61.5% more sensitive for CRC [
5–
8] and has a greater ability to detect CRC and advanced adenomas [
9].
A recent study from Scotland revealed that the presence of detectable f-Hb was associated with increased all-cause and non-CRC mortality, suggesting that a positive f-Hb could potentially be used as a meaningful index to predict the mortality rate from various diseases [
10]. However, this study used gFOBT instead of FIT, and the number of patients with a positive gFOBT result (n = 2,714) was too small to evaluate the mortality rate [
10]. Studies using FIT on a much larger scale are needed to clarify the association between f-Hb and mortality from various causes. It is also necessary to explore whether these associations are maintained among different ethnicities.
In South Korea, the Korean National Cancer Screening Program (NCSP) began FIT screening for all citizens over 50 years of age in 2004. Using this database, we aimed to evaluate the effect of FIT positivity on all-cause, CRC, and non-CRC mortality in the Korean population.
DISCUSSION
In this large-scale population-based study, we found that FIT-positive results were associated with increased mortality from CRC and from all causes excluding CRC. More specifically, FIT-positive results were significantly associated with increased mortality from several non-CRC diseases, such as circulatory, respiratory, digestive, neuropsychological, and blood and endocrine diseases. In addition, positive FIT results were associated with a higher risk of death from cancers, excluding CRC and external factors that were mainly trauma-related. These results suggest that a positive FIT can alert clinicians of the risk of mortality from various diseases regardless of the presence or absence of CRC.
Very few studies have evaluated the association between fecal test results and mortality rates for diseases other than CRC. To date, only two studies have investigated this topic [
10,
14]. Similar to our results, a Scottish study including 134,192 individuals who participated in gFOBT screening demonstrated that the presence of detectable f-Hb was significantly associated with all-cause and non-CRC mortality [
10]. In this study, participants with a positive gFOBT result had higher mortality from CRC (aHR, 7.79; 95% CI, 6.13 to 9.89) and all non-CRC causes (aHR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.45 to 1.73) than those with a negative gFOBT result [
10]. In addition, this study showed that a positive gFOBT result was significantly associated with an increased risk of death from circulatory, respiratory, digestive (excluding CRC), neuropsychological, and blood and endocrine diseases, and cancers excluding CRC [
10]. However, this study used gFOBT, which is less sensitive in detecting CRC than FIT, and the sample size was relatively small compared to our study (n = 134,192 vs. 5,932,544). Another study from Taiwan substantiated the claim that the impact of an incremental increase in f-Hb concentration on all-cause mortality and CRC mortality was dose-dependent [
14]. The aHR for all-cause mortality increased from 1.03 (95% CI, 0.97 to 1.11) for a f-Hb of 20 to 49 ng Hb/mL to 1.35 (95% CI, 01.14 to 1.61), 1.73 (95% CI, 01.42 to 2.11), and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.54 to 2.17) for an f-Hb of 150–249, 250–449, and ≥ 450 ng Hb/mL, respectively, compared to the risk associated with an f-Hb of 1 to 19 ng Hb/mL (
p < 0.001 for trend test) [
14]. Their study also revealed that the impact of f-Hb on non-CRC mortality was still statistically significant despite excluding CRC-related mortality (
p < 0.001 for trend test) [
14]. However, in their study, only age and sex were adjusted for, while medications that could cause gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding and affect FIT results as well as comorbidities that could affect mortality were not adjusted. Additionally, in their study, the cause of death was not analyzed in detail by disease type, and the sample size was relatively small compared to our study (n = 185,743 vs. 5,932,544).
Given that FIT directly measures human f-Hb and is more sensitive to lower GI tract bleeding [
1,
15,
16], it is not surprising that a positive FIT result would be associated with CRC mortality; among the risks of death from a range of causes, the risk of death from CRC (aHR, 5.61) was the highest. In addition, since GI bleeding is often associated with digestive disease, it could be assumed that a positive FIT result would be associated with an increased risk of mortality from digestive disease; the risk of mortality from digestive disease (aHR, 1.57) was the second-highest mortality risk.
Interestingly, however, positive FIT results were also associated with mortality from diseases other than CRC and digestive diseases, such as circulatory disease, respiratory disease, neuropsychological disease, blood and endocrine diseases, and cancers excluding CRC. Although the reasons behind these findings cannot be clearly elucidated, there are some possible explanations. First, f-Hb may reflect systemic inflammation, in addition to colon inflammation. Respiratory infectious diseases such as pneumonia can cause systemic inflammation [
17]. In addition, it is known that ischemic heart disease, heart failure, atherosclerosis, the majority of solid tumors, and various chronic diseases, including diabetes mellitus, metabolic syndrome, and neurodegenerative diseases, are associated with systemic inflammation [
18–
22]. Systemic inflammation caused by these diseases may lead to subclinical gut inflammation and consequent occult bleeding. This hypothesis is supported by recent studies in which f-Hb was reported to be a useful marker of gut inflammation in patients with ulcerative colitis in clinical remission [
23,
24]. In addition, systemic inflammation has been reported to be associated with mortality. A recent meta-analysis demonstrated that elevated serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were associated with future cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes [
25]. Another study also revealed that systemic inflammatory markers, including CRP level and neutrophil count, were predictive of all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular mortality [
26]. Our study suggests that f-Hb, similar to systemic inflammatory markers, may be a predictor of mortality from various causes.
Second, gut microbiota may also play a role in inducing occult bleeding in chronic diseases. Dysbiosis of the gut microbiota can damage the host intestinal epithelial barrier and alterations in the immune system [
27,
28]. Impaired intestinal barrier function can cause enteric bacterial translocation, which leads to an increase in circulating levels of bacterial structural components and microbial metabolites that can promote the development and progression of various chronic diseases, including metabolic and cardiovascular diseases, dementia, and several cancers, including extra-intestinal cancers [
27–
30]. One of the mechanisms linking a positive FIT result to mortality from chronic diseases and cancers may be intestinal epithelial barrier disruption caused by dysbiosis. Obesity and poor lifestyle habits such as a high-fat diet, physical inactivity, and smoking have also been associated with systemic inflammation and dysbiosis [
28,
31–
34]. In this context, f-Hb may be a modifiable marker that could be used to assess the effect of an improved lifestyle on the reduction in overall mortality.
Third, chronic diseases related to mortality and colorectal neoplasia share common risk factors. Although advanced adenoma, a precursor of CRC, was not investigated in our study, a significant proportion of patients with a positive FIT result may have had advanced adenoma and not CRC. Indeed, previous studies have shown that the positive predictive value of FIT for advanced adenomas ranges from 22% to 48% [
1]. Considering that the perceived risk factors for advanced adenoma include smoking, obesity, metabolic syndrome, and physical inactivity [
35–
37], the higher non-CRC mortality in FIT-positive individuals compared to FIT-negative individuals may be due in part to the association between these shared risk factors and chronic diseases that resulted in death.
Fourth, another explanation for our results may be that patients who died from circulatory diseases may have been more likely to take antiplatelet agents or anticoagulants than the general population, which may have caused GI bleeding. However, we found that correcting for aspirin use had minimal effect on the association between FIT positivity and mortality from non-CRC causes.
This is the largest study to demonstrate a significant association between FIT positivity and an increased risk of mortality from non-CRC causes. Nevertheless, this study has several limitations. First, various brands of FITs with varying cutoff points were used. Accordingly, the effect of f-Hb concentration on mortality from various causes was not assessed, despite using quantitative FITs. Second, the impact of dynamic changes in FIT results on mortality was not assessed because we considered only one-time FIT results. Further studies are necessary to determine if certain levels or changes in f-Hb concentration are useful modifiable biomarkers that could reflect life expectancy. Third, there may have been a detection bias. In the present study, the proportion of individuals who underwent colonoscopy within 1 year after FIT was significantly higher in FIT-positive individuals than in FIT-negative individuals (23.0% [n = 87,752/380,789] and 8.4% [n = 463,801/5,551,755], p < 0.001). This may have affected the higher incidence of CRC and the resulting higher CRC-related mortality in FIT-positive patients. Fourth, the use of anticoagulants or antiplatelet agents other than aspirin was not considered. Lastly, since only patients who participated in FIT screening were studied, there may be some degree of selection bias.
In conclusion, positive FIT results were associated with an increased risk of mortality from CRC and non-CRC causes. Our results suggest that FIT positivity may potentially be a prognostic biomarker for predicting life expectancy, independent of its association with CRC. Although the current indication for FIT is for CRC screening, FIT positivity may provide important information about health beyond CRC.