INTRODUCTION
Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide, in terms of both incidence and cancer-related mortality. Although the age-standardized incidence rate in many developed countries has decreased in males, it increased in females between 1990 and 2016 [
1]. In Korea, the population-standardized rate of death due to lung cancer was 34.1 per 100,000 persons (crude: n = 17,399) in 2015 [
2]. Approximately 30% of all lung-cancer cases occurred in women [
2], and 79.7% of females with lung cancer did not have any history of smoking [
3,
4]. The high incidence of lung cancer in never-smoking women in South Korea requires epidemiological investigation to identify risk factors for the development of lung cancer in never-smoking females.
The smoking rate decreased from 66.3% in 1998 to 42.1% in 2013 in men but did not change significantly in women, with the rate remaining at 5% to 8% [
5]. However, the causes of lung cancer in never-smoking females are not well understood. Possible risk factors have been suggested, including occupational exposure, secondhand tobacco smoke, radon, indoor or outdoor air pollution, history of lung disease, family history of lung cancer, use of menopausal hormonal therapy, human papillomavirus infection, and dietary factors, such as a high intake of red or processed meat and a low intake of fruits and vegetables [
6]. However, a large-scale study of the potential risk factors for lung-cancer development in never-smoking Korean women has not been conducted. Thus, this nationwide cohort study investigated the risk factors for lung cancer among never-smoking Korean females.
DISCUSSION
The aim of the present study was to investigate the risk factors for lung cancer among never-smoking Korean females. This population-based study showed that never- smoking Korean females with an older age, lower BMI, less exercise, more frequent consumption of alcohol, a meat-based diet, rural residence, or previous cancer history had a significantly increased risk of incidental lung cancer. In addition, the negative association with BMI and positive association with alcohol consumption remained significant even after controlling for the effect of age.
Several epidemiologic studies have supported an inverse relationship between BMI and lung- cancer development [
7-
11]. A recent meta-analysis of 29 studies investigating BMI and lung-cancer risk showed that such an inverse relationship was more prominent among current and ex-smokers; however, the effects of BMI were attenuated when the analysis was restricted to non-smokers [
7]. The present study showed a statistically significant inverse relationship between BMI and lung-cancer risk. This discordance compared with previous studies could be caused by several differences among the analyses, such as study design, differences in the methods used to assess BMI and analyze the data, and high heterogeneity across studies. However, this study enrolled a large number of never-smoking Korean females, nearly 6 million; thus, the 95% CIs were narrower than those in previous pooled studies.
BMI itself does not take into account specific body composition metrics such as muscle mass, visceral fat mass, and subcutaneous fat mass. Moreover, as body composition and BMI differ considerably among different ethnic groups [
12], patients with the exact same BMI can have significantly different body compositions and different clinical outcomes. For prostate cancer, although gaining weight was positively associated with prostate cancer risk in Western populations, there was an inverse association between weight gain and disease risk in Asian populations [
13]. In the present study, a multivariate Cox regression model with age stratification also showed a robust inverse relationship between BMI and lung-cancer development in never-smoking Korean females aged ≥ 40 years.
There are several possible explanations for the inverse relationship between BMI and lung-cancer development. BMI is a strong surrogate for adipose tissue volume. First, adipose tissue modulates the storage of extrinsic potential carcinogens such as benzo(a)pyrene, which induces DNA adduct formation and prevents the accumulation of carcinogen-DNA adducts in target organs [
14-
17]. Second, the fat mass- and obesity-associated genotype, which accounts for the greatest genetic variance in obesity traits over a lifespan, is associated with a reduced risk of lung cancer [
18]. Third, smoking-induced weight loss may be associated with lung cancer [
19,
20]. However, the negative association between BMI and lung cancer is not clearly understood. Therefore, a future study is needed to evaluate the causal relationship.
Alcohol consumption has been suggested as a potential carcinogen involved in lung cancer [
21]. Acetaldehyde, an alcohol metabolite, forms DNA adducts in vitro [
22], and alcohol enables potential carcinogens to dissolve in the upper aerodigestive mucosal layers [
23]. In addition, the frequency of alcohol consumption potentially functions as a surrogate for the frequency of secondhand smoking, which indicates the amount of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke [
24]. Although the Korean government established a National Health Promotion Act in 1995, smoking in public places such as restaurants, pubs, and bars was not banned until 2013. Thus, individuals who frequented such establishments in this study might have been exposed to more secondhand tobacco smoke. In addition, drinking alcohol at least one to two times per week increased the risk of lung cancer in older compared with younger never-smoking females, which might reflect higher exposure to secondhand tobacco smoke in previous decades.
The HR for dietary habits indicated a positive association with lung-cancer development after adjusting for baseline variables including age and BMI. Cox regression analysis with stratification by age showed that consuming a meat-based diet increased the risk of lung-cancer development in the elderly (aged 50 or older) compared with the younger group (aged 50 or younger) (
Table 3). Dietary habits may be closely associated with age, and elderly subjects may have had greater exposure to cooking exhaust over several decades. Levels of particulate matter in cooking exhaust from fuels and meats, which contain carcinogens such as benzo(a)pyrene [
25], can reach 1,000 μg/m
3 in 20 minutes [
26]. Thus, never-smoking females who prefer meat and who cook indoors may be exposed to high levels of carcinogens during cooking.
The HR for diets high in meat was negatively associated with lung-cancer in the unadjusted model. However, an alternative result was obtained after adjustment for all variables. Age was the most important factor for the incidence of lung cancer in the present study. Therefore, adjusting for age may play an important role in changing the direction of the association between dietary habits and lung cancer. Univariate Cox regression analysis to validate the effects of dietary habit with stratification according to age group, as outlined in
Table 3, showed a different direction of association between a diet high in meat and lung cancer incidence according to age group (the results were similar to those in
Table 3; data not shown).
With regard to residence area, the percentages of subjects residing in a rural area were 38.3% for those aged ≥ 70 years, 31.2% for those aged 60 to 69 years, and 16.2% for those aged < 40 years. This implies that living in a rural versus urban area is associated with age. However, additional analyses stratified by age implied that the relative risk between urban and rural residence was not a differential misclassification bias. Individuals residing in rural locations may have greater exposure to potential carcinogens such as arsenics in pesticides [
27], asbestos, and herbicides [
28], which increase the risk of lung-cancer development.
A previous history of cancer other than lung cancer was also a risk factor for developing lung cancer. Genetic predisposition and environmental exposure to common carcinogens may be related to the development of multiple cancers. In addition, secondary lung cancer after cancer at other sites might be associated with previous chemotherapy or radiation therapy [
29,
30].
There are several limitations to this study. First, several potential information biases might exist. Baseline lifestyle habits (exercise, alcohol consumption, and diet) were assessed by a previous questionnaire, which used a limited number of response options. Therefore, detailed information regarding lifestyle, such as type and amount of alcohol consumption, exercise type, etc., was not assessed because of the use of a questionnaire prepared by the NHIS for health screening in the general population. In addition, a family history of lung cancer is also an important factor. However, clustering of familial lung cancer was not fully assessed in the questionnaire. Further studies with reduction of these sources of bias are required. In addition to these biases, there may also have been additional bias associated with validation of secondhand smoking (SHS) status. The questionnaire for the NHIS health examination does not include SHS, so its effect could not be evaluated in this study. Second, in comparison to the Korea Central Cancer Registry, in which cases were confirmed pathologically, the operational definition of lung cancer was derived from the Disease Code dataset (T40) of the NHIS. To overcome this information bias, a multistep approach was performed to identify newly diagnosed lung cancer (C34 criteria 2 in
Fig. 2). Furthermore, in cases of specific severe disease (cancer or rare intractable diseases), the NHIS dataset covers more than 90% of the population, because medical care expenses are reimbursed up to 90% to 95% of the total amount due. A previous study that compared medical claim data in the Health Insurance and Review Agency with chart reviews for rare and intractable diseases indicated 97% to 98% and 92% to 93% sensitivity and specificity, respectively [
31]. Thus, a misclassification bias of lung cancer using the NHIS claim dataset is less likely.
This study also has several strengths. First, the main strengths are the large sample size of nearly 6 million subjects and the long median follow-up period of 11.5 years. Second, the effect of smoking was excluded using strict inclusion/exclusion criteria so that other potential risks for lung cancer could be investigated in never-smoking females. Third, BMI and lung cancer showed a statistically significant inverse dose–response relationship. However, a higher BMI per se is a potential risk for other cancers such as breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancer; therefore, maintaining an adequate BMI may be useful for cancer prevention.
In conclusion, modifiable baseline characteristics such as BMI, exercise, alcohol consumption, and diet are risk factors for lung-cancer development among never-smoking females. Thus, lifestyle modification may prevent lung cancer.