Two hundred forty-seven patients (16.8%) died in the first 12 months. The patients who died were older (71.9 ± 14.3 years vs. 65.2 ± 14.6 years,
p < 0.001), had a lower BMI (22.2 ± 3.6 kg/m
2 vs. 24.2 ± 4.3 kg/m
2,
p < 0.001), were less likely to be current smoker (13.8% vs. 21.8%,
p = 0.004), and were more likely to have diabetes mellitus (40.8% vs. 30.6%,
p = 0.002), hypertension (57.6% vs. 50.0%,
p = 0.031), chronic kidney disease (20.4% vs.10.6%,
p < 0.001), coronary artery disease (22.9% vs. 17.4%,
p = 0.047), a previous history of stroke (9.8% vs. 5.6%,
p = 0.015), COPD (6.9% vs. 3.9%,
p = 0.037), and more advanced NYHA class (
p < 0.001). They also had lower systolic BP (122.8 ± 28.9 mmHg vs. 128.6 ± 27.3 mmHg,
p = 0.004), lower serum sodium level (136.7 ± 5.7 mmol/L vs. 138.6 ± 4.3 mmol/L), higher potassium level (4.4 ± 0.8 mmol/L vs. 4.3 ± 0.6 mmol/L,
p = 0.017) and lower GFR (52.8 ± 29.1 mL/min/1.73 m
2 vs. 65.9 ± 26.8 mL/min/1.73 m
2) (
Supplementary Table 1). Patients who died received less ACEi or ARB (30.0% vs. 44.9%,
p < 0.001), β-blocker (25.9% vs. 35.0%,
p = 0.007), CCB (6.9% vs. 10.9%,
p = 0.026), or oral furosemide (26.3% vs. 32.3%,
p = 0.028), but received more dobutamine (13.4% vs. 7.3%,
p = 0.002).
There was a "J-curve" relationship between the serum sodium level and 12-month mortality; patients with a serum sodium level of 140 mmol/L had the lowest 12-month mortality rate, and the mortality increased in both directions away from 140 mmol/L (
Supplementary Fig. 1). The 12-month mortality rate was higher in the hyponatremia group than normonatremia group (27.9% vs. 14.6%, log-rank
p < 0.001) (
Fig. 1A). When analyzing the secondary endpoints, patients with hyponatremia had a higher 12-month rehospitalization rate (34.0% vs. 26.9%, log-rank
p = 0.002) (
Fig. 1B), and higher composite of 12-month death or rehospitalization (52.6% vs. 37.4%, log-rank
p < 0.001) (
Table 2,
Fig. 1C).
In the Cox proportional-hazards regression model, hyponatremia was an independent predictor of 12-month mortality with 72% increase in mortality (hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.65), along with current smoking, BMI, GFR, NYHA Functional Class, and diastolic BP (
Table 3). With regard to the relationship between 12-month mortality and clinical outcome, the mortality rate was lowest in patients with a serum sodium level of 140 mmol/L and increased with distance from 140 mmol/L. After propensity score matching for baseline characteristics, the data of 155 patients in each group were available. The primary endpoint was higher in the hyponatremia group than in the normonatremia group (28.4% vs. 18.8%,
p = 0.048) (
Table 4).