DISCUSSION
This meta-analysis of seven large-scale, actively controlled, long-term outcome trials that included 87,257 patients shows that amlodipine-based regimens reduced the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke compared with non-CCB antihypertensive therapy. Amlodipine-based regimens reduced the risk of total cardiovascular events by 10%, and, surprisingly, significantly reduced the risk of total mortality compared to non-CCB antihypertensive therapies. For the most part, the results of our study are consistent with those of a meta-analysis of 27 overall CCB studies, which was performed before the ACCOMPLISH study was published [
1]. However, the current study has several unique features that distinguish it from the previous meta-analysis.
First, this study analyzed the effect of a single DHP CCB, amlodipine. We intended to minimize the confounding effect of variability of treatment due to the substantial difference between DHPs and non-DHP CCBs [
16]. This approach was possible since amlodipine was predominantly used as either the treatment regimen or the control regimen in more than half of the overall outcome studies with a CCB arm [
1].
Second, this meta-analysis was limited to data from actively controlled trials to minimize the effect of blood pressure reductions observed in placebo-controlled trials. Although there were still blood pressure differences of up to 2.1 mmHg, which were lower in the amlodipine arms, the difference in blood pressure in the enrolled trials was much less than that in other meta-analyses, including placebo-controlled trials.
Lastly, we enrolled only trials that evaluated long-term outcomes, and thus had clearly defined primary and secondary endpoints. As most long-term outcome studies enrolled a far larger number of patients than small-scale intermediate endpoint studies, the current study avoided selection bias.
Since the six outcome trials analyzed in this study, except the ACCOMPLISH trial, were also included in a previous meta-analysis of 27 overall CCB studies that was published before the ACCOMPLISH study [
1], we assumed that the risk reduction in total mortality and stroke by DHP CCBs would be reproduced in this meta-analysis. However, surprisingly, this study showed a significant risk reduction in myocardial infarction as well as composite cardiovascular events, which was not significant in the previous meta-analysis that combined the results of all CCBs, including non-DHP CCBs. There are several possible explanations for this difference.
The previous meta-analysis of CCBs showed a lack of protection against myocardial infarction (OR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.04;
p = 0.83) [
1]. However, there were significant heterogeneities among the individual study results. In this study, an amlodipine-based regimen showed a significant risk reduction of 9%, which was consistent across the enrolled studies (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.99;
p = 0.03). Although it is debatable whether certain classes of antihypertensive agents are more effective than others, several papers have suggested that ACE inhibitors more effectively prevent coronary artery disease than CCBs. For example, a meta-analysis performed by Verdecchia et al. [
17] reported a nonsignificant reduction in coronary artery disease risk by CCBs compared with a placebo. However, the results were largely heterogeneous for the enrolled studies. In this aspect, the significant risk reduction of 9% for myocardial infarction observed in this study did not contradict previous studies, but rather reflects homogeneity among studies that might be related to a single agent, amlodipine. The significant risk reduction in myocardial infarction by amlodipine is consistent with intermediate endpoint study results showing the antiatherosclerotic effect of DHP CCBs [
18] and, specifically, the effect of amlodipine [
19].
A second noteworthy finding regarded stroke prevention. It is widely accepted that CCBs are superior to other classes of antihypertensive agents for stroke prevention [
20]. However, it remains debatable whether the protective effects are due to a reduction in blood pressure or to the ancillary effects of CCBs [
21]. Our study revealed a significant risk reduction of 15%, which is also consistent with the overall CCB meta-analysis. Notably, because this meta-analysis confined the data from an active-controlled trial, there were blood pressure differences less than 2.1 mmHg between the amlodipine-based regimens and other antihypertensive arm. Moreover, the amlodipine-based regimens showed a risk reduction of approximately 15% regardless of the counterpart regimen, whether it was a non-CCB-based conventional regimen (e.g., diuretics and β-blockers) or a RAS-blocking regimen (e.g., ACE inhibitors and ARBs), which supports the 'beyond blood pressure lowering' effect of amlodipine. The mechanism behind stroke prevention by CCBs remains to be clarified. However, the longer duration of efficacy of CCBs compared with other classes might enable better blood pressure control in the early morning, which is considered the high-risk period for stroke [
22]. In addition, it was recently suggested that the reduced blood pressure variation achieved with CCBs as compared with other classes of antihypertensives provides greater stroke prevention [
23].
Perhaps the most striking result of this study regarded heart failure prevention. An overall CCB meta-analysis reported that the risk of heart failure was increased by CCB-based regimens compared with non-CCB treatments by 17% with substantial heterogeneity among studies [
1]. The inferiority of CCBs was confirmed in this meta-analysis, which compared the effect of amlodipine with that of RAS-blocking agents such as ACE inhibitors or ARBs. In contrast, amlodipine-based regimens showed comparable results versus non-CCB-based conventional regimens such as diuretics or β-blockers. This comparability was obscured in a previous meta-analysis, which reported that overall CCBs, including non-DHP CCBs, were inferior, even to conventional regimens [
1]. There was considerable heterogeneity in the effect among studies, including for conventional treatments. Only the ALLHAT-diuretics arm showed a far superior risk reduction by diuretics compared to amlodipine-based regimens. The incidence of CHF adjudication may have been overestimated in the case of CCBs due to ankle edema, a well-known adverse effect of CCBs that is unrelated to CHF. In contrast, CHF incidence might be underestimated in the diuretic arm because fluid retention caused by CHF is relieved by diuretics. This underestimation/overestimation may have been particularly substantial in the ALLHAT trial, which did not adjudicate heart failure as endpoints before study initiation [
7]. Conversely, in the ACCOMPLISH trial, which classified heart failure as that requiring hospitalization, there was no significant difference (100 events in 5,744 patients vs. 96 events in 5,762 patients; OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.38;
p = 0.77) between amlodipine- and hydrochlorothiazide-based regimens [
8]. Although we accept the suggestion that ACE inhibitors and ARBs are superior to CCBs in heart failure prevention, the observation that CCBs are inferior to all other classes of antihypertensives cannot be over-interpreted, not only because CCBs showed an invariable risk reduction for heart failure by 28% compared with a placebo [
1] but also because the heart failure incidence was comparable between the amlodipine-based regimens and non-CCB-based conventional regimens, as shown in this meta-analysis.
Lastly, amlodipine-based regimens showed an invariable reduction in total cardiovascular events of 10% and reduction in total mortality of 5%. The only exception was the ALLHAT-diuretics study, which showed a far superior reduction in heart failure incidence, as mentioned before. Although the risk reduction in cardiovascular mortality was not significant (OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.84 to 1.02; p = 0.13), this lack of significance could have been due to fewer events.
This study has some limitations. Although we included all long-term outcome trials, small-scale intermediate endpoints studies were excluded, possibly resulting in deviation of the meta-analysis. The definition of cardiovascular events, especially the definition of CHF, differed between the trials. Due to limitations on our ability to access data from individual patients, we did not perform a multivariable analysis, including potential effect modifiers such as mean age, sex, cigarette use, and previous cardiovascular diseases, which could have caused bias. Finally, all of the trials included in this meta-analysis used amlodipine besylate; therefore, we cannot speculate whether the results of this study can be extrapolated to other amlodipine salt formulations.
In conclusion, our meta-analysis showed a significant reduction in total cardiovascular events by 10% and in total mortality by 5% for amlodipine compared with non-CCB antihypertensive therapies, which had not been demonstrated previously in other meta-analyses of CCBs. We also identified a protective effect against myocardial infarction and stroke. CHF incidence seemed to be increased with amlodipine compared with ACE inhibitors or ARBs, but was comparable to that with β-blockers and diuretics. Therefore, amlodipine can be safely used in high-risk cardiac patients and is associated with benefits for all major cardiovascular endpoints as well as total mortality.