Optimal blood pressure target in the elderly: rationale and design of the HOW to Optimize eLDerly systolic Blood Pressure (HOWOLD-BP) trial

Study design

The HOWOLD-BP trial is designed as a prospective, multicenter, open-label randomized clinical trial and patient follow-up is planned for 3 years. The primary purpose of the trial is to evaluate whether intensive SBP-lowering treatment (target SBP ≤ 130 mmHg) reduces CV events compared with standard treatment (target SBP ≤ 140 mmHg) in Korean patients with hypertension aged ≥ 65 years.

Subjects will be randomized into two groups according to the SBP target: ≤ 130 mmHg (intensive treatment group) and ≤ 140 mmHg (standard treatment group). The subjects have been recruited from 11 university hospitals in Korea since January 2019. Subjects will be enrolled for 4 years, and each individual is planned to be followed up for 3 years (Fig. 1). During the follow-up period, patients will be requested to visit the hospital at least seven times, and information regarding clinic and home BP, supine and standing BP, laboratory findings, frailty assessments, and drug compliance will be collected, and a questionnaire for quality of life (QOL) and cognitive function will be performed according to the standardized protocol (Table 1).

Figure 1

Diagram of the HOW to Optimize eLDerly systolic Blood Pressure (HOWOLD-BP) trial. SBP, systolic blood pressure; CV, cardiovascular.

Table 1

Measures and frequency during the follow-up procedure in HOWOLD-BP trial

The study protocol has been approved by the ethics committee of each participating center (The Institutional Review Board at Chungbuk National University Hospital, approval No. 2018-09-015). This study was registered with the Clinical Research Information Service (Internet), Osong (Chungcheongbuk-do): Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Ministry of Health and Welfare (Republic of Korea) in 2019 (KCT0003787, available from: https://cris.nih.go.kr/).

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

The inclusion and exclusion criteria for enrolment are shown in Table 2. We will include patients aged ≥ 65 years with hypertension who were already taking antihypertensive medications or treatment-naïve patients with a clinic SBP of 140 to 180 mmHg. All patients enrolled in this study must be independent in their activities of daily living (ADL). Patients will be excluded from the study if they have secondary hypertension, resistant hypertension (BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg with three classes of antihypertensive medications or maintenance of BP < 140/90 mmHg with more than four different classes of antihypertensive medications, including diuretics), or orthostatic hypotension (1-minute standing SBP < 110 mmHg) with symptoms at screening. Patients with a history of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), cardiac surgery, urgent coronary intervention, or stroke within 3 months and patients with concomitant systolic heart failure or other significant structural heart diseases will also be excluded. Patients with uncontrolled diabetes mellitus (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c] ≥ 10%), end-stage renal disease (on hemodialysis or estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] less than 15 mL/min/1.73 m²), severe liver function abnormality (liver enzyme levels greater than three times the upper normal range), uncontrolled thyroid dysfunction, and moderate to severe retinopathy will also be excluded.

Table 2

Inclusion and exclusion criteria of the HOWOLD-BP trial

Enrollment and follow-up

Eligible patients will be screened by a local investigator based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. During the run-in period, patients’ suitability for the study will be assessed according to the criteria. Eligible patients will be requested to continue their previous medication regimens and lifestyle modifications. Within 4 weeks of screening, eligible patients will be randomly allocated at a ratio of 1:1 to one of the two groups according to the target SBP (≤ 130 mmHg, intensive treatment group or ≤ 140 mmHg, standard treatment group). The clinical sites at randomization are considered stratification factors for randomization. All patients participating in the study will be informed of the study and sign written consent.

After randomization, we plan to follow-up each patient for 3 years. During the follow-up period, patients will be requested to visit the hospital every 4 months in the first year and every 6 months in the second and third years (i.e., at month 1, 4, 8, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36) (Table 1). Patient information, such as demographics, comorbidities, laboratory findings, cognitive function, and assessment of QOL and frailty, will be collected per protocol. Medication compliance, calculated as [number of taken pills/number of prescribed pills] × 100, will also be evaluated at every visit after randomization.

At the initial visit (Visit 1, at the time of screening), demographic information will be collected, including the participants’ initials, sex, date of birth, age, and registration number. Each participant will undergo a comprehensive physical examination, medical history, frailty assessment, cognitive function test, and QOL questionnaire. Trained clinical research coordinators will administer the interviews and questionnaires. Clinical data will include current and past medical history and medications, especially for hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and anticoagulants.

BP and pulse rate will be measured at the heart level in the seated position using a professional digital BP monitor (HEM7080-IC, Omron Healthcare, Lake Forest, IL, USA). The measurements will be performed in a quiet room after 5 minutes of rest and repeated three times after another 2 minutes of rest under the supervision of the research coordinator. Assessment of orthostatic hypotension will be conducted at enrollment and at every clinic visit during follow-up. Orthostatic hypotension is defined as a decrease in SBP of at least 20 mmHg or a decrease in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) of at least 10 mmHg within 3 minutes of standing [18]. During the follow-up period, all patients will be requested to measure and record their BP while performing daily activities at home and bring it when they visit the hospital.

Trained clinical research coordinators will assess frailty. ADLs will be evaluated using the modified Barthel index (range, 0 to 100; lower numbers indicate worse frailty) [19]. Instrumental ADLs (IADLs) will be measured using the Lawton and Brody index (range, 0–5 for males; 0–8 for females; lower numbers indicate worse IADL function) [20]. ADLs range from 0 to 100, with 100 indicating full independence, 75 to 99 indicating partial dependence, and < 75 indicating full dependence. For IADLs, patients who are dependent for at least one IADL are assumed to have IADL dependence. Frailty will be assessed using the Korean version of the fatigue, resistance, ambulation, illnesses, and loss of weight (K-FRAIL) questionnaire, with a score ≥ 3 defined as having frailty [21]. In addition, gait speed and hand grip strength will also be measured to evaluate frailty. Gait speed will be measured according to the gait time of a 4-m course including 1-m of accelerated and decelerated course. The handgrip strength is to be measured two times in both arms using a TKK-5401 GRIPD (Takei, Niigata, Japan). Cognitive function will be assessed using the Korean version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA-K; range, 0 to 30; with lower numbers indicating worse function) [22]. Evaluation of health-related QOL will be performed using the Korean version of the EQ-5D [23].

Blood and urine tests, including complete blood cell count, liver enzymes, kidney function, and spot urine microalbumin, will be performed at an accredited institution. For patients with diabetes or suspected of having diabetes, HbA1c will also be included.

Blood pressure intervention

Antihypertensive medications will be prescribed according to the investigator’s judgement. The protocol recommends that physicians choose the following medications as first-line therapy for patients without comorbidities: calcium channel blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, and diuretics. For patients with other compelling indications, medication will be prescribed according to the 2018 KSH guidelines [16].

In drug-naïve patients with hypertension, monotherapy will be started at the randomization visit. Two different classes of antihypertensive medications can be added simultaneously according to the investigator’s judgement in patients with an SBP ≥ 160 mmHg and aged < 75 years. In patients who were already taking antihypertensive medications, another antihypertensive medication will be added if their SBP is higher than the target. After one month, patients with an SBP within the target range (SBP ≤ 130 mmHg in the intensive group and ≤ 140 mmHg in the standard group) will maintain their previous medication therapy. In contrast, patients who do not achieve the target SBP in each group will be treated with a second antihypertensive medication and followed up every month until SBP is reduced below the target. Once patients reach the SBP goal, they can visit the hospital on a regular schedule. For patients with an SBP > 160 mmHg, two types of antihypertensive medications can be added at the same time, according to the investigator’s judgement. The combination regimen will follow the recommendations included in the KSH guidelines [16]. In the standard treatment group, antihypertensive medication will be down-titrated if the clinic SBP is < 130 mmHg at regular visits or < 135 mmHg at two consecutive visits. During the study period, active dose titration according to the target BP will be recommended to increase the BP difference between the two groups, and the mean BPs of each treatment group will be periodically checked and communicated to all researchers.

Outcomes

The primary outcome of this study is a composite of ACS (myocardial infarction [MI] and unstable angina), stroke, heart failure, or death from CV causes. Strokes, which include ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, and transient ischemic attacks are defined as a case of sudden local neurological disorder or consciousness disturbance due to a cerebrovascular disorder (occlusion of cerebral blood vessels, cerebral ischemia, cerebral infarction, rupture of cerebral blood vessels, or cerebral hemorrhage) that persists for more than 24 hours. Heart failure is defined as a hospitalization or emergency room visit requiring intravenous diuretic therapy. All left ventricular ejection fraction ranges will be included.

The secondary outcomes are prespecified and mainly include the following: (1) the occurrence of each component of the primary outcome and all-cause death; (2) hospitalization caused by CVD, such as ACS, heart failure, and stroke; (3) QOL assessed using the EQ-5D; (4) decline in cognitive function assessed using the MoCA-K; and (5) worsening frailty assessed using the frailty questionnaire, gait speed, and grip strength. The safety outcomes are also prespecified as follows: (1) development of renal dysfunction, defined as a ≥ 50% reduction in the eGFR in a patient with stage 1 or 2 chronic kidney disease (CKD) (eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m²), a ≥ 30% reduction in the eGFR in a patient with stage 3 CKD (eGFR 30 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m²), or maintenance dialysis for more than 3 months or a history of kidney transplantation in a patient with stage 4 CKD (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m²); (2) decline in renal function during the study period, defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥ 0.3 mg/dL; (3) occurrence of orthostatic hypotension, defined as a decline of SBP ≥ 20 mmHg or DBP ≥ 10 mmHg within 3 minutes of standing after 5 minutes of lying in the supine position; (4) hypotension defined as an SBP < 90 mmHg; (5) dizziness; (6) syncope; (7) electrolyte imbalance; and (8) a fall.

Statistical analysis

To calculate the sample size, we used previous studies performed in Asian countries [7,8,13,24–26]. In these studies, the incidence of major CV events was between 0.6% and 3.6%. However, given the difference in ethnicity and definition of CV events, this incidence could not be applied directly to our study. Therefore, we used data from the National Health Information Database (NHID) of the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS). According to the NHID from 2008 to 2013, the incidence of major CV events in elderly patients with hypertension aged ≥ 65 years was 19.8% for 3 years in Korea. We assumed the difference in the primary outcome incidence between the two treatment groups would be more than 4% during the study period, which means the incidence of the primary outcome is expected to be 15.8% of the event rate per year in the intensive group and 19.8% in the standard group. We assumed a 2-year recruitment period, a maximum follow-up of 5 years, and a loss to follow-up rate of 2% per year. We have thus estimated a total of 1,588 subjects per group (3,176 in total) would be required to detect differences, with a two-sided α level of 5% and 80% power. We thus plan to recruit a total of 3,176 patients (1,588 in each group).

Measured variables will be expressed as the mean ± standard deviation (SD) for continuous data and percentages for categorical data. The baseline characteristics of the intensive and standard treatment groups will be compared using the Student’s t test for continuous data and Pearson’s chi-square test for categorical data. When the target recruitment period is over and the target participants are fully collected, Kaplan-Meier curves will be used to evaluate the time-to-event outcomes (ACS, stroke, heart failure, or death from CV cause). The risk of developing each event in the intensive treatment group compared to the standard treatment group will be estimated using the Cox proportional hazard model with a hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). To further evaluate the demographic and clinical characteristics, stratification and sensitivity analyses are also planned. Variables measured multiple times during follow-up will be analyzed using repeated-measures regression analyses.

Analysis of the primary and secondary outcomes will be conducted in three populations: (1) the intention-to-treatment (ITT) population, all patients who are assigned to the two treatment arms will be included; (2) the as-treated (AT) population, according to treatment type regardless of randomization; and (3) the per-protocol (PP) population, restriction of the patients who complete the trial. The outcomes will be analyzed in the ITT population as the primary analysis and in the AT and PP populations as secondary and repeated analyses.

An independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) and a safety monitoring committee have been organized to evaluate the progress of the trial in relation to the efficacy and safety of interventions during the study period. A primary interim analysis will be performed after 50% of the subjects are registered and a 1-year follow-up is completed.

All statistical analyses will use a significance level of 0.05 and will be performed using the SAS software program version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

Evidence of the benefits of reducing BP in the elderly

Previous studies have demonstrated that treatment of hypertension could reduce CV complications in the elderly [6,27–30]. The Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial (HYVET) randomly assigned 3,845 patients aged ≥ 80 years (mean age 83.6 years) with an SBP ≥ 160 mmHg (mean BP 173.0/90.8 mmHg) to receive either the indapamide (± perindopril) or matching placebo treatment. The target BP of the active treatment group was 150/80 mmHg and the SBP and DBP at 2 years were 143.5 and 77.9 mmHg in the active treatment group and 158.5 and 84.0 mmHg in the placebo group, respectively. Active treatment was associated with a 30% reduction in the rate of fatal and nonfatal stroke (primary outcome), a 21% reduction in the rate of death from any cause, and a 23% reduction in the rate of death from CV causes. Furthermore, fewer serious adverse events were reported in the active treatment group than in the placebo group [6]. Moreover, there was no evidence that frailty modifies the positive impact of antihypertensive treatment in this very elderly population, although this population mainly consisted of robust subjects [27].

In the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) study, 1,627 patients aged 70 to 84 years (mean age 75.7 years; mean BP 195/102 mmHg) were randomized into either the active antihypertensive therapy group (three beta-blockers and one diuretic) or the placebo group. At 4 years, the mean SBP and DBP were 166 and 85 mmHg in the active treatment group versus 193 and 95 mmHg in the placebo group, respectively. The primary outcomes (stroke, MI, and other CV deaths) were significantly reduced in the active treatment group (relative risk, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.85) [28]. The other two trials, the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program study (SHEP) [29] and the Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur) study [30], both of which included patients aged ≥ 60 years with isolated systolic hypertension, also showed significant reductions in the incidence of total stroke and major CV events in the active treatment group. In these studies, consistent clinical benefits were seen with antihypertensive treatment in elderly patients similar to those seen in younger hypertensive patients, especially for those with an SBP ≥ 160 mmHg at the time of study participation, even considering baseline BP level, individual CV risk, and comorbidities. However, any additional benefit associated with lowering the SBP below 140 mmHg in elderly patients with hypertension is still controversial.

Clinical trials for intensive versus standard BP treatment in the elderly

Several large-scale clinical trials have evaluated the benefits of intensive BP-lowering therapy in elderly populations (Table 3). The Japanese Trial to Assess Optimal Systolic Blood Pressure in Elderly Hypertensive Patients (JATOS) trial enrolled 4,418 elderly hypertensive patients aged 65 to 85 years (mean age 73.6 years) with an SBP > 160 mmHg and compared the effects of 2 years of strict antihypertensive treatment (target SBP < 140 mmHg) with those of mild antihypertensive treatment (target SBP between 140 and 160 mmHg) [7]. The mean SBP was 135.9 mmHg in the strict treatment group and 145.6 mmHg in the mild treatment group at the end of the study. There was no significant difference between the two treatment strategies regarding the primary outcome, which was the combined incidence of cerebrovascular disease, cardiac and vascular disease, and acute or chronic renal failure. Moreover, according to the subgroup analysis of patients aged ≥ 75 years, the incidence of the primary outcome tended to be higher in the strict treatment group than in the mild treatment group. Similarly, in the Valsartan in Elderly Isolated Systolic Hypertension Study (VALISH), which enrolled 3,260 patients with isolated systolic hypertension aged between 70 and 84 years (mean age, 76.1 years), strict BP control (SBP < 140 mmHg) was not superior to moderate BP control (SBP 140 to 160 mmHg) for reducing CV events [8]. The participants of these two trials showed a relatively low prevalence of CVD and diabetes, resulting in a low incidence of the primary outcome.

Table 3

Characteristics of clinical trials for intensive versus standard BP lowering in the elderly

However, in a small randomized trial conducted in China [25], intensive antihypertensive treatment with a target BP ≤ 140/90 mmHg resulted in a significant decrease in stroke and CV events compared to the standard treatment with a target BP ≤ 150/90 mmHg. A total of 724 patients aged 70 years or older (mean age, 76.6 years) were enrolled, and the average SBP was 135.7 mmHg in the intensive treatment group and 149.7 mmHg in the standard treatment group over a mean follow-up of 4 years. Intensive treatment reduced the primary outcomes (a composite of stroke, acute MI, and other CV deaths) by 40.6%, total strokes by 42.0%, and heart failure-related deaths by 62.7%. The total and CV-related mortality rates also decreased by 41.7% and 50.3%, respectively, in the intensive treatment group.

A following larger subgroup analysis of elderly participants (aged ≥ 75 years) who enrolled in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) also showed a significant benefit of intensive BP control (SBP target < 120 mmHg) compared to standard BP control (SBP target < 140 mmHg) [10]. Among the 9,361 participants in the original SPRINT trial, 2,636 were aged ≥ 75 years (mean age, 79.9 years). The mean SBP was 123.4 mmHg in the intensive treatment group and 134.8 mmHg in the standard treatment group over a median follow-up of 3.14 years. The intensive treatment group showed a 34% lower rate of the primary outcome (a composite of nonfatal MI, ACS, nonfatal stroke, nonfatal acute decompensated heart failure, and death from CV causes) and a 33% lower rate of all-cause mortality. Surprisingly, the overall rate of serious adverse events was not different between the treatment groups, although the absolute rates were slightly higher in the intensive treatment group. Although there were higher rates of clinical events with increasing frailty in the exploratory subgroup analysis, frailty status did not modify the effect of intensive BP treatment on CV-related benefits. Even though the strength of the elderly participants aged ≥ 75 years was a prespecified subgroup of the SPRINT trial and all participants enrolled in this study were at high risk for CV events, the generalizability of the results is somewhat limited because subjects with diabetes or prevalent stroke were excluded from the original SPRINT study [31].

The most recently published study, the Strategy of Blood Pressure Intervention in the Elderly Hypertensive Patients (STEP), also showed a significant benefit of intensive BP-lowering treatment (target SBP between 110 and 130 mmHg) compared to standard treatment (target SBP between 130 and 150 mmHg). A total of 8,511 Chinese patients with hypertension aged between 60 and 80 years (mean age, 66.2 years) were enrolled, and the mean SBP was 126.7 mmHg in the intensive treatment group and 135.9 mmHg in the standard treatment group over a median follow-up of 3.34 years [11]. The incidence of the primary outcome (a composite of stroke, ACS, acute decompensated heart failure, coronary revascularization, atrial fibrillation, and death from CV causes) was significantly lower in the intensive treatment group than in the standard treatment group (3.5% vs. 4.6%: HR, 0.74; p = 0.007). Most of the individual components of the primary endpoints also favored intensive treatment. The STEP trial is the largest randomized controlled trial to test whether intensive BP-lowering treatment has a beneficial effect on CV events, particularly in the elderly population. However, patients with prevalent atrial fibrillation or stroke were excluded from the STEP study. Although there was no significant interaction between the treatment group and age in the prespecified subgroup analysis according to age (< 70 years vs. ≥ 70 years), the enrolled patients were relatively younger than those in the other trials for elderly patients with hypertension, with only 24% of the participants aged ≥ 70 years. Though frailty status evaluated using the Fried phenotype and cognitive dysfunction using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) were measured according to the study protocol, the results of these assessments were not presented in the main results [11,32].

Rationale and strength of the HOWOLD-BP trial

The inconsistent results regarding the beneficial effects of intensive BP treatment in the elderly among the previous studies might be attributable to differences in the achieved reduction in the SBP and features of the study population, such as underlying CV risk, comorbidities, and frailty. Moreover, the positive results of the recently published SPRINT-SENIOR [10] and STEP [11] studies cannot be used to represent patients with a history of stroke. Except for the SPRINT-SENIOR study, none of the previously mentioned trials have evaluated their results according to frailty status. Thus, the optimal target BP for elderly patients has been debated in recent years. Several specific factors should be considered when treating elderly patients [17]. Elderly patients often have multiple co-existing issues and concerns, including frailty, multiple comorbidities, polypharmacy, cognitive impairment, depression, disability, dizziness, syncope, and falls. Sometimes, these factors can complicate the treatment of hypertension. Thus, elderly patients with hypertension are heterogeneous, and chronological age is not necessarily synonymous with biological age.

Several features of the HOWOLD-BP design are worthy of note. First, the inclusion criteria allow most elderly patients aged ≥ 65 years with hypertension to participate, as there is no upper age limit and only those who have ADL dependence will be excluded for ethical reasons. This open age criterion could, therefore, allow for an assessment of older members of the elderly population compared with that of the JATOS, VALISH, and STEP trials. In this study, there are also no specific exclusion criteria, such as history of atrial fibrillation, stroke, or diabetes, except for conditions that could influence the BP and treatment regimen. The choice to use a target SBP ≤ 140 mmHg for the standard treatment group was based on current hypertension guidelines [15,16], and the target SBP ≤ 130 mmHg used for the intensive treatment group was based on the SBP achieved in previous trials, which was the lowest in the SPRINT-SENIOR study (123.4 mmHg), and safety concerns with reducing the BP too low in the elderly population. The recommended treatment protocol according to the assigned target SBP in this study is based on the KSH guidelines [16], but the attending physician will decide the choice of antihypertensive drugs and titration protocol. It is thought that giving the attending physician free decision-making capacity will better reflect real-world practice. Additionally, every participant will be requested to record their home BP profile using the same authorized device, and the home BP data will be analyzed in conjunction with their corresponding clinic BP data. Considering the high prevalence of white-coat hypertension in the elderly population, obtaining home BP data is important for verifying the beneficial effects of intensive treatment. Additionally, assessing frailty status based on the questionnaire, gait speed, and handgrip strength in the HOWOLD-BP study is more comprehensive compared with previous studies. Cognitive function and health-related QOL will also be assessed.

However, we have encountered some problems in conducting this clinical study. Above all, the rate of patient enrollment has been lower than expected. To address this problem, we are constantly pushing for the involved institutions to enroll more patients. In addition, we plan to extend the follow-up period to 5 years to obtain sufficient events to assess the outcomes. Interim analyses will soon be conducted.

In conclusion, the HOWOLD-BP trial will be the first study performed in Korea to evaluate the beneficial effect of intensive treatment (SBP ≤ 130 mmHg) compared with standard treatment (SBP ≤ 140 mmHg) on CV outcomes in elderly patients with hypertension. The results of the HOWOLD-BP trial will provide new evidence of the optimal target BP for improving CV outcomes in elderly patients with hypertension, particularly in Asian populations.