INTRODUCTION
The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is rapidly increasing. In 2012, diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes among people aged 20 years or older was 12.3% in the United States [
1]. The World Health Organization reported that the global prevalence of diabetes in adults over 18 years in 2014 was estimated to be 9% [
2], and the estimated number of patients with diabetes worldwide was reported as 415 million in 2015 [
3]. In Korea, according to the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011, the prevalence of diabetes in Korea was 10.5% in adults over 30 years or older [
4]. As the prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and its complications increase rapidly, the incidence of diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is also expected to increase [
5]. According to the data from ‘Diabetes in Korea 2007,’ the 44.8% of the foot amputated patients in 2003 had diabetes [
6]. Patients with diabetes were 10.1 times more likely to undergo foot amputation, and 7.8 times more likely to have foot ulcer [
6]. In addition, about 73,000 non-traumatic lower-limb amputations were performed in adults aged 20 years or older with diagnosed diabetes in the United States in 2010 [
1].
DFU is associated with a significant portion of admission, medical costs, disability, and mortality, and is the leading cause of non-traumatic lower extremity amputation (LEA) [
7,
8]. According to one study performed in Korea from December 1994 through December 2002, total medical costs (
per capita) of foot amputation and foot ulcer in patients with diabetes were 2.0 and 1.7 times higher, respectively, than those of non-diabetic patients [
9]. Mean hospital stay of foot amputation and DFU were 1.6 and 1.3 times longer, respectively, than those of non-diabetic patients [
9]. Considering this increasing prevalence of diabetic vascular complications and its related health burden, early detection and prompt management of DFU are urgently required. In addition, for prevention and effective treatment of DFU, it is important to understand the risk factors and clinical course of DFU in patients with type 2 diabetes.
This retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate the predictors of LEA in patients with type 2 diabetes hospitalized for DFU.
METHODS
Patients
A total of 380 patients with type 2 diabetes, aged 30 to 85 years, who visited St. Vincent’s Hospital in Korea for DFU management were recruited consecutively from May 2012 to January 2016 by retrospective medical record review. Among these patients, 229 subjects who visited the Emergency Department or needed hospitalization for DFU care were included. Twenty patients with type 1 DM, gestational DM, or any severe illness, such as liver cirrhosis, heart failure, and malignancy were excluded from the study. The patients with too little available clinical data from the medical record were also excluded (
Fig. 1). The Catholic Medical Center Ethics Committee and the Institutional Review Board (IRB No: VC15OISI0207) approved this study. Written informed consents were obtained.
Information about the clinical and demographic characteristics was collected by careful medical record review. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressures ≥ 140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressures ≥ 90 mmHg, or the use of antihypertensive medications. Fasting and postprandial plasma glucose levels were measured using an automated enzymatic method (model 7600-110, Hitachi, Tokyo, Japan), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels were measured using high-performance liquid chromatography with a reference range of 4.4% to 6.4% (Bio-Rad, Montreal, QC, Canada). Total cholesterol, triglycerides, low density lipoprotein, and high density lipoprotein cholesterol were measured enzymatically using an automatic analyzer (model 7600-110). Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was assessed using the 4-component Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation [
10]. Baseline white blood cell (WBC) counts and C-reactive protein (CRP) were also measured. We defined smoking status as current or past smokers. Coronary artery disease was defined as a history of diagnosed angina pectoris by coronary artery angiography, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization (coronary bypass surgery or coronary angioplasty) [
11]. Stroke history included previous transient ischemic attack or cerebral infarction [
11]. Diabetic retinopathy was defined as non-proliferating diabetic retinopathy of any severity and proliferating diabetic retinopathy, which was confirmed by ophthalmologist. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) was defined as ankle-brachial index (ABI) ≤ 0.9 or compatible findings of PAD in peripheral arterial angiography or computed tomography (CT).
DFU outcome evaluation
We classified the DFU wounds according to extent, depth, and severity of infection of each wound at initial visit. When patient had multiple DFUs, the most significant ulcer was selected as the wound for assessment. The extent of the wound was estimated by multiplying the largest diameter by the second largest diameter measured perpendicular to the first diameter. We classified ulcers into one of the following groups: < 10, 10 to 25, and ≥ 25 cm
2. We further classified ulcers by depth: superficial soft tissue, fascia/muscle/tendon level, and bone or joint level. An infected ulcer was defined as a wound with loss of epithelial continuity of overlying skin with both physical findings, such as pus or redness, heat sensation, fluctuation of surrounding tissue (which suggests fluid accumulation) [
5], and one of the following signs or abnormal laboratory findings: fever, WBC ≥ 10 × 10
9/L (normal reference range, 4.0 to 10.0 × 10
9/L), or CRP ≥ 0.50 (normal reference range, 0.01 to 0.47 mg/dL). All of the wounds were classified according to the University of Texas classification [
5]. The main outcome in this study was LEA, including minor and major amputations. Minor amputation included toe, ray, transmetatarsal, and below-knee amputation. Major amputation was defined as above-knee amputation [
12]. We also collected data on hospitalization days and deaths related to DFUs.
Management protocol for DFU and indications for amputations
When the DFU patients initially visited our hospital, the multidisciplinary team including an orthopedist or plastic surgeon, vascular surgeon, infectious disease specialists, and an endocrinologist decided the management of the DFU. After initial debridement, an assessment of the wound was performed. If the orthopedist or plastic surgeon decided that the wounds did not indicate a need for an emergency amputation, studies for the state of blood supply for the wound (CT angiography for peripheral arteries or arteriography) were done. And if the sign of infection was combined with the DFU, wound culture and administration of the empirical antibiotics (in most cases, 3rd line cephalosporins) were performed. Additionally, when extensive muscle necrosis or osteomyelitis was suspected, we considered the magnetic resonance imaging. After completion of all the above evaluation, the team determined whether to amputate the wound or not.
The followings are the indications for amputation at our hospital: (1) infection: life-threatening sepsis or septic shock; (2) blood supply to the tissues: severe peripheral arterial disease (impossible revascularization); and (3) other: extensive muscle necrosis. However, if the surgeon decides that the wound will heal, only debridement can be done to an ulcer which only involves a toe or part of a foot.
Statistical analysis
The statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 13.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). Continuous variables were presented as the mean ± SD values or median (interquartile range), and categorical variables were presented as percentages. Continuous variables were compared with independent Student t tests, while categorical variables were compared using a chi-square tests and Fisher exact tests. Age, sex, smoking history, duration of DM, hypertension, prior amputation history, WBC, CRP, eGFR, oral anti-diabetic medication, antiplatelet agents, statin, presence of PAD, the depth and size of the wounds, and combined infection were included in the univariable analysis. Because there were not enough medical records about whether patients use insulin, the percentage of missing data regarding insulin use was 61.7%, which has potential for bias. Therefore, we excluded insulin use in statistical analyses. The predictive factors were analyzed using the multivariable logistic regression method, including those that were statistically significant in the univariable analysis. A p < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. The results were reported as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
DISCUSSION
In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated the clinical outcome of DFUs in patients with type 2 diabetes who visited the Emergency Department or required hospitalization via outpatient clinic due to DFUs, and analyzed the data of those patients to illustrate several predictors of LEA.
DFU is a disastrous complication of diabetes, often leading to LEA. According to data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey, 28.4 LEA events occur per 10,000 patients with diabetes, and LEA among adults with diabetes was 10 times higher than for those without diabetes in 2010 [
13].
There have been many studies about the risk factors for DFU development; several risk factors for DFU have been reported, such as male sex, older age, history of previous ulcer, smoking, longer duration of diabetes, hypertension, neuropathy, PAD, deformity of foot, poor glycemic control, nephropathy, retinopathy, and nephropathy, etc. [
14-
17]. In contrast, there are not many longitudinal studies for prognosis of DFU have been reported. Several studies suggested the predictors of LEA such as older age, nephropathy, peripheral arterial disease, sensory neuropathy, uncontrolled DM, and infection [
18]. However, there are still not many prospective cohort studies with a multicenter and relatively large sample size to evaluate the predictors of LEA at the present time.
After initial assessment of DFU, a treatment strategy should be established according to the proven risk factors and severity of each wound, as many clinical practice guidelines recommend [
2]. Therefore, prognosis of DFU and predictors of LEA should be well understood [
19].
The LEA rate (58.9%) in this study was higher than those of other epidemiological studies of LEA for DFU (13.7%) [
17]. This can be explained by higher baseline severity of the DFU wound (according to University of Texas classification, 64 patients [33.3%] were over class IIB), as many of our patients were admitted via emergency room for untreated chronic wound or referred from primary care for unhealed wound despite treatment. Lower limb amputation due to DFUs contributes to increased medical costs. Depending on hospitalization/non-hospitalization, diabetic foot amputation was associated with 1.6 or 2.1 times more annual days of healthcare use, and 2.0 or 2.3 times higher total medical cost than non-diabetic foot amputation. DFU was associated with 1.7 or 3.2 times higher total medical cost [
6].
One of the important predictors for LEA in this study was depth of wound. On the basis of anatomy of foot and several classification system, we classified ulcers by depth: superficial soft tissue, fascia/muscle/tendon level, and bone or joint level [
20]. Whether or not DFU invades the bone or joint level may be an especially important factor for prediction of prognosis. While several studies regarded the extent of the wound as an important factor related to LEA, it was not a significant predictor of LEA in our analysis [
20]. This may suggest that decisions in the management of DFU could be dependent on the depth of wound, rather than extent of the wound.
Other predictors of LEA included the presence of PAD and the combined infection of ulcer. PAD is most easily detected by the ABI that is generally used. An angiography may reveal significant macrovascular disease requiring intervention. In this study, PAD was defined as ABI ≤ 0.9 or compatible findings of PAD in peripheral arterial angiography or CT. In terms of degree of ischemia, arterial oxygen supply can also be measured by transcutaneous oximetry. A transcutaneous oxygen tension higher than 30 mmHg correlates with a high likelihood of wound healing. However, transcutaneous oxygen tension requires expensive equipment and a trained technician, and it cannot be routinely used [
18]. Although there was more moderate to severe stenosis of arteries in LEA patients, there was not a statistically significant difference between patients with LEA and non-LEA.
A total of 76 patients among 192 DFU (39.6%) had a percutaneous lower extremity angiography or lower extremity CT angiography at baseline examination. We classified the severity of stenosis of any arteries that perfused the DFU area as mild, moderate, and severe, which were confirmed by the expert radiologist or vascular surgeons. Although there was more moderate to severe stenosis of arteries in LEA patients, there was not a statistically significant difference between patients with LEA and non-LEA (
Table 2). However, we believe that the statistical analysis for the characteristics of vascular stenosis would not be enough due to the small number of PAD evaluation.
There are many studies that suggest combined infection of DFU as a poor prognostic factor [
21]. Therefore, pathogen-specific antibiotics therapy is one of the important factors for optimal treatment of DM foot infection, and should be included in the protocol for managing DFU in each hospital. There are several points to consider in the development of the protocol. First, the frequency and range of resistance to antibiotics are different in many regions [
21]. Therefore, epidemiologic studies to investigate the pathogen that is the most common or the most virulent in each hospital are essential. Each pathogen’s resistance to antibiotics also should be investigated. Second, proper identification techniques need to be introduced because the pathogens which are elucidated under the current culture-based techniques are not necessarily the most clinically important organisms [
20].
The method used to elucidate the causative organisms in DFU was a wound discharge swab in this study. Therefore, cultured organisms include not only the true pathogen but also normal flora of the patient’s skin. Some patients visited our hospital after several days of treatment with antibiotics. For that reason, organisms were not included in the analyses in this study.
Considering that important predictors for LEA in this study were the depth of wound and combined infection, for comprehensive management and improved wound care, a multidisciplinary team approach, including orthopedist, plastic surgeon, vascular surgeon, and infectionologist seems to be essential in the initial management of DFU [
8,
19].
In general, adequate glycemic control is essential for prevention of DFUs and LEAs [
20,
22]. However, the mean HbA1c level during the follow-up period was not different between the LEA and non-LEA groups in this study. Glycemic control cannot be shown as important for DFU treatment due to the small sample size and retrospective design of our study. Metabolic correction, including high glucose, blood pressure, and lipid profile within target range, with prompt infection control, should be emphasized in DFU patients with type 2 diabetes.
There are several limitations in this study. First, due to the retrospective study design, we could not assess presence of diabetic neuropathy. Because most patients were referred from other primary care, available baseline data for diabetic complications was not sufficient, and additional examinations for neuropathy were not possible on severely damaged wounds. As the included patients were those who required admission, and the patients with too little available clinical data from the medical record were also excluded, selection bias has to be taken into account. Other limitations of this study include relatively small sample size, retrospective design, and single center studies. A larger, prospective study will be needed to validate the findings of the present investigation. Additionally, as many studies suggest that infection of DFU is an important predictor for LEA [
21,
23], the difference in organisms and antibiogram of each DFU should be identified in the future for proper treatment of DFU.
In conclusion, in cases of severe DFU requiring hospitalization, the LEA risk was high in patients with type 2 diabetes. Therefore, DFU prevention is essential. Routine examination of the feet is necessary during routine clinical practice. Whenever DFU is identified, prompt management of DFUs by a multidisciplinary team would play an important role in lowering the LEA rate.